How are these AI job verdicts decided?

Each profession is split into 4-8 concrete tasks. Every task is judged separately as gone, going or safe, and each surviving task must name a structural reason it resists — legal liability, physical presence, regulation, trust, human judgment, creative taste, accountability or emotional labour. Only then is a headline verdict given, and it never stands alone. Full rules: https://willaistealit.com/methodology

What does "safe until" mean on this site?

It is the year by which the core tasks of a job are expected to be routinely machine-done in ordinary practice, accounting for capability arriving, organisations adopting it and regulators allowing it. It is not the year the job title disappears.

Will AI steal it?

Every job split into its real tasks, each task judged on its own. Find yours.

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Verdict distribution

11 shrinking
4 on the menu
2 safe
17 total
See the timeline →

			What survives
Accountant The data entry is already gone. The signature and the trust are not.	shrinking	~2031	legal-liability, trust-relationship
Administrative Assistant The documents, the diary and the filing now run themselves. Deciding who reaches the person you work for does not.	shrinking	~2029	trust-relationship, human-judgment
Cashier Scanning the shopping stopped being a job somebody does. Standing between the shelf and the door still is.	on the menu	~2032	physical-presence, regulated
Copywriter Nobody is buying words any more. They are buying the judgment about which words.	on the menu	~2028	creative-taste, human-judgment
Customer Support Agent Tier 1 is already a bot. What is left is every conversation the bot made worse.	on the menu	~2028	emotional-labor, human-judgment
Data Analyst Anyone can get the number now. Knowing which number to ask for is the job.	shrinking	~2030	human-judgment, accountability
Graphic Designer Generation is free now. Choosing, and defending the choice, is the whole job.	shrinking	~2029	creative-taste, trust-relationship
Lawyer Research and drafting hours are evaporating. The bar card and the blame are not transferable.	shrinking	~2033	legal-liability, regulated
Marketer Execution went to zero, so everyone is executing. Deciding what not to do is the remaining edge.	shrinking	~2031	human-judgment, creative-taste
Nurse Everything a machine could take was paperwork, and there was a mountain of it. The rest is a body in a room.	safe	no horizon	physical-presence, emotional-labor
Photographer Generated images killed the stock market. They cannot attend your wedding.	shrinking	~2030	physical-presence, trust-relationship
Recruiter Both sides now use AI, so volume is worthless. Persuading one specific person is not.	shrinking	~2030	trust-relationship, emotional-labor
Software Developer Writing the code stopped being the hard part. Knowing what to build never was.	shrinking	~2032	human-judgment, accountability
Teacher AI is a spectacular tutor and a hopeless teacher. The difference is the room.	safe	no horizon	emotional-labor, physical-presence
Translator The volume work is already priced at zero. What is left is the work where being wrong is expensive.	on the menu	~2029	legal-liability, creative-taste
Truck Driver The highway middle is going. The first mile, the last mile and the paperwork are not.	shrinking	~2035	physical-presence, physical-context
Video Editor The tedious half of editing is gone. Rhythm, and knowing when to cut, is not.	shrinking	~2030	creative-taste, human-judgment

No job by that name yet. Add it — it is one JSON file.

As of August 2026, willaistealit.com publishes task-level AI verdicts for 17 professions: 2 judged safe, 11 shrinking and 4 on the menu. Each profession is split into its real tasks and every task is judged separately, because jobs are not replaced by AI — tasks are.